ENTSOG TYNDP 2017 - Annex G - GQA

Southern corridor – RU Min

Gross Calori c Value (kWh/m 3 , 25/0)

Gross Calori c Value (MJ/m 3 , 15/15)

South corridor – RU Min

41.80

12.20

40.80

11.70

39.80

38.80

11.20

37.80

36.80

10.70

35.80

34.80

10.20

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021 2022

2023

2024

2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

High probability

Low probability

2.5 and 97.5 percentiles

50 percentile (median)

Southern corridor – LNG Min

Gross Calori c Value (kWh/m 3 , 25/0)

Gross Calori c Value (MJ/m 3 , 15/15)

South corridor – LNG Min

41.80

12.20

40.80

11.70

39.80

38.80

11.20

37.80

36.80

10.70

35.80

34.80

10.20

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021 2022

2023

2024

2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

High probability

Low probability

2.5 and 97.5 percentiles

50 percentile (median)

GCV average values show a clear ascending trend in those scenarios leading to high- er flows of LNG. Again, probability distributions are far from being uniform.

Ten-Year Network Development Plan 2017 Annex G: Gas Quality Outlook | 23

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