ENTSOG South-North Corridor GRIP 2017 - Main Report
3.3.2 PEAK DEMAND
In addition to the forecast of the average annual demand, estimates of the peak demand between 2017 and 2037 have been analysed, as being particularly significant for the network planning in the different countries (“design case”). Figure 3.19 shows how the peak demand is expected to remain almost stable in the next twenty years, with a slight increase in the first 10 years and a slow decrease over the following 10 years, reaching again current values.
GWh/d
Total peak demand
40,000
35,000
30,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
0
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037
Rest of EU-28
Total
Region
Figure 3.19: Evolution of total peak demand according to the Blue Transition scenario (Source: projection based on data from TSOs collected by ENTSOG)
The South-North Corridor countries account for about 50% of the peak demand at European level, with a slight decline expected in the following years. This trend re- flects the relative reduction of the overall annual gas demand of the Region com- pared to the rest of EU-28, already described in the previous section (see §3.3.1). Figure 3.20 shows the expected evolution of the peak demand between 2017 and 2037 for the individual South-North Corridor countries.
GWh/d
Total peak demand by country
7,000
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037
IT
FR
BE
CH
LU
DE
Figure 3.20: Evolution of the total peak demand between 2017 and 2037 for the countries of the South-North Corridor Region according to the Blue Transition scenario (Source: projection based on data from TSOs collected by ENTSOG)
South-North Corridor GRIP 2017 |
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