ENTSOG South-North Corridor GRIP 2017 - Main Report

The graph indicates how in general the peak demand is expected to remain fairly constant over the period, with a slight decrease in France and a more steady reduc- tion rate in Germany (average rate of decline lower than 1%) and a small increase in Italy. An interesting increase is then expected for Belgium, related to the announced nuclear phase-out, while Luxembourg and Switzerland should remain basically stable over the next two decades. The graphs in Figure 3.21 and Figure 3.22 show the results for the different consumption sectors (final customers – residential, commercial, industrial and transportation – and power generation) obtained for the 2017–2037 period.

GWh/d

Peak demand for nal demand (residential, commercial, industrial and transportation)

30,000

25,000

20,000

15,000

10,000

5,000

0

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037

Rest of EU-28

Total

Region

Figure 3.21: Evolution of the peak demand for final demand (residential, commercial, industrial and transportation) between 2017 and 2037 according to the Blue Transition scenario (Source: projection based on data from TSOs collected by ENTSOG)

GWh/d

Peak demand for power generation

10,000

8,000

6,000

4,000

2,000

0

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037

Rest of EU-28

Total

Region

Figure 3.22: Evolution of the peak demand for power generation between 2017 and 2037 according to the Blue Transition scenario (Source: projection based on data from TSOs collected by ENTSOG)

The stable trend foreseen for peak demand for the next two decades is balanced by an increasing demand for power generation and a decreasing final demand. For both categories, the respective positive and negative growth rates are more emphasised for the countries of the South-North Corridor compared to the rest of the EU countries.

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South-North Corridor GRIP 2017