ENTSOG TYNDP 2017 - Main Report

2.6.3 ENERGY EFFICIENCY

As part of the European Commission 2030 Framework for climate and energy policy, there is an indicative target for energy savings of at least 27%. The role of energy efficiency was further explored in the Energy Efficiency Impact Assessment 2014  1) , which looked at the effect of differing levels of energy efficiency on both gross inland energy consumption and primary energy consumption, using the 2007 Baseline projections for 2030   2) . When evaluating the TYNDP 2017 demand scenarios using the same approach, against the 2005 gross inland consumption figures  3) available from the EU Reference Case 2016, a reduction in energy use of 18.5% would be needed to meet the 27% target, and 22.1% if energy efficiency levels were deemed to reach 30%. As shown in figure 46, the scenarios are either in line with or exceed these targets and would be further improved when considering the higher efficiency of the gas-fired power plants applied to the displacement of coal-fired generation in the power sector, as these targets apply to all primary energy sources. Equally the use of gas for transportation, which is highest in Blue Transition scenario, would see the displacement of oil in this sector but ENTSOG does not have the required level of detail to make these calculations.

7,000 TWh/y

Power demand – coal displacement by gas Power demand – without coal displacement by gas

6,000

18%

21%

27% 31%

5,000

4,000

Final Demand

3,000

Historic gas demand

2,000

1,000

0

2005

Slow Progression 2030

Blue Transition 2030

Green Evolution 2030

EU Green Revolution 2030

Figure 2.46: Estimated CO ² emissions from the power generation and gas final demand sectors

 1) https://ec.europa.eu/energy/sites/ener/files/documents/2014_eec_ia_adopted_part1_0.pdf  2) https://ec.europa.eu/energy/sites/ener/files/documents/trends_to_2030_update_2007.pdf  3) ENTSOG uses the Gross Inland Consumption as a comparison, as this is the demand collected from TSO.

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Ten-Year Network Development Plan 2017 Main Report