ENTSOG TYNDP 2015

5.2 Historic supply trend

5.2.1 EVOLUTION AT SOURCE LEVEL

The following tables illustrate the continuous decline of European indigenous production during the last ten years which has induced an increasing dependence on gas imports. However, in the last few years this effect has been mitigated by the reduction in gas demand, mainly in the power generation sector.

7,000 TWh/y

100 %

3,500

75

53

53

57

59

61

61

62

64

65

66

0

50

-3,500

25

47

47

43

41

39

39

38

36

35

34

-7,000

0

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Export Import

Gross inland consumption

Import

Indigenous production

Primary production

Figure 5.2: European gas balance: Entries vs Exits 1) 2003 – 2012 (Source Eurostat)

Figure 5.3: Evolution of indigenous production vs. import 2003 – 2012 (Source Eurostat)

Below figures show the evolution of the imports from the different sources during the last five years. The decrease in indigenous production has been mainly compen­ sated for by the increase of Russian and Norwegian imports. The LNG import level fluctuates following changes in the global LNG market.

100 %

2,000 TWh/y

2 6

2 7

0 6

1 7

1 6 9

12

13

16

15

75

1,500

22

19

23

18

19

1,000

50

26

31

25

27

27

500

25

34

33

31

31

32

0

0

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

NP NO

LNG

DZ

LY

NP NO

LNG

DZ

LY

RU

RU

Figure 5.4: Evolution of imports 2009 – 2013

Figure 5.5: Evolution of supply shares 2009 – 2013

1) Gas exports cover flows towards Turkey, Kaliningrad and St. Petersburg (LNG reloading is not included).

Ten Year Network Development Plan 2015 |

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