ENTSOG TYNDP 2015

5.1 Introduction

Forecasting gas supply exceeds the direct responsibility of most of the TSOs and will always depend on the information made available by other participants along the gas chain. Most of the supply data was collected from public information and as such ENTSOG cannot be held responsible for the accuracy of this data. European gas supply is divided between indigenous production and gas imports. From the perspective of the network assessment, ENTSOG distinguishes between pipeline- bounded imports from Algeria, Libya, Norway, Russia and the Caspian 1) area, and LNG. Whenever a source exports gas through both pipe and LNG, the lat- ter is always reported separately from the overall supply from this source and is gath- ered in the LNG supply scenario. As a reported supply source, LNG aggregates the potential production of over 20 producing countries including Algeria, Libya, Norway and Russia. With this approach ENTSOG does not disregard the potential diversifi- cation of LNG supplies, but recognizes the global nature of the LNG market. The assumption is that, under a perfectly-functioning LNG market, the same pricing mechanism would apply equally to all the LNG arriving to Europe, irrespective of the country of origin and destination.

Existing import point Planned import point

from

LNG Norway

Russia Azerbaijan & Turkmenistan

Algeria Libya

Figure 5.1: Existing and new import sources and routes  2)

1) Due to the different status of the projects supplying gas from the Caspian area, a further differentiation between Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan sources has been applied. 2) For the border of Greece and Turkey the delivered gas is contractually Turkish gas without regard to its physical origin.

Ten Year Network Development Plan 2015 |

75