ENTSOG TYNDP 2015

As for yearly demand, for most of the countries the evolution of the peak demand is driven by the power generation sector (ENTSO-E SO&AF 2014–2030 Visions 1 and 3 considering gas TSO feedback) as illustrated by the following graphs:

%

350

250

150

50

-50

-150

AT 20% 57%

BA 64% ∞

BE 8% 186%

BG 46% 0%

CH 5% 188%

CY ∞ ∞

CZ 17% 115%

DE -34% 47%

DEn -34% 47%

DEg -34% 47%

DK -76% 0%

EE 7% 107%

ES 18% 33%

FI 8% -29%

FR -13% 38%

FRn -12% 45%

FRs -12% 19%

FRt -21% 0%

Final (res., com., ind.)

Power generation

Figure 4.29a: GREEN: Evolution of total gas demand for the peak day in the period 2015 – 2035 per sector and balancing zone. Gas demand for power generation is based on data from ENTSO-E SO&AF 2014 – 2030  1) .

%

350

250

150

50

-50

-150

AT

BA

BE

BG

CH

∞ ∞ CY

CZ

DE

DEn

DEg

DK

EE

ES

FI

FR

FRn

FRs

FRt

-28% 19%

0% ∞

8% 48%

32% 0%

5% 680%

17% 115%

-25% -37%

-25% -37%

-25% -37%

-57% 0%

7% -5%

18% 50%

9% -90%

-13% 29%

-12% 36%

-12% 11%

-21% 0%

Final (res., com., ind.)

Power generation

Figure 4.29b: GREY: Evolution of total gas demand for the peak day in the period 2015 – 2035 per sector and balancing zone. Gas demand for power generation is based on data from ENTSO-E SO&AF 2014 – 2030  1) .

1) Gas demand for power generation is not the same in 2015 between GREEN and GREY scenarios due to ENTSO-E Visions, such difference should be considered when comparing evolution under the two global contexts. Necessary data can be found in Annex C2. Ranges for the y-axis have been cut on both graphs for visibility reasons when increase is above 400%. “∞” means an indefinite increase in gas demand resulting from the absence of gas demand in 2015.

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Ten Year Network Development Plan 2015