ENTSOG TYNDP 2015

4.3.2.3 Comparison of total annual gas demand between the two scenarios

The following figures compare the evolution of the total gas demand for the GREEN and GREY scenarios. They show the maximum range for the GREEN scenario and the minimum range for the GREY. Both scenarios show a slight increase of total gas demand, although starting from different absolute levels. The discrepancy between the two scenarios for final gas demand is small. In fact, the difference between GREEN and GREY scenarios mostly results from power generation scenarios under Visions 1 and 3. GREEN is 20% higher than the GREY scenario on average. In addition, the figures also show the range of total gas demand, including TSOs demand scenarios for power generation. TSOs scenarios are consistent with the GREY scenario, especially in the long term.

7,000 TWh/y

6,000

5,000

4,000

3,000

2,000

1,000

0

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

Demand range under TSO’s scenario (final + power)

Vision 1 – Scenario B

Vision 3 – Scenario A

Figure 4.18: Total gas demand and comparison with TSO’s submission

GREY

GREY

> -50%

0%

> 50%

> -50%

0%

> 50%

> -50%

0%

> 50%

Figure 4.19: Evolution of total annual gas demand in the period 2015 – 2035.

Gas demand for power generation is based on data from ENTSO-E SO&AF 2014 – 2030.

Ten Year Network Development Plan 2015 |

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