ENTSOG TYNDP 2015

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6.4.1.2 LNG cooperative dependence – CSSD LNG

Physical dependence to LNG shows mirror results compared to the Russian de- pendency and to the TYNDP 2013-2022. Under the Low scenario the dependence on LNG supply is limited to one region, the Iberian Peninsula and France before it extends to the whole Europe due to the decreasing share of all other supply sourc- es except Russia. The commissioning of Non-FID projects and associated new sup- plies could reduce the dependency except for the Iberian Peninsula for which addi- tional projects would be necessary to further reduce its physical dependency on LNG. In 2035 under the Low scenario whole of Europe will become dependent on LNG even if in a lower extent than Iberian Peninsula and Greece. This dependence is primarily caused by a lack of available alternative volume and not only due to capac- ity congestion. For this same year under the Green Global context and High Infra- structure scenario, a small dependency to LNG appears for every EU Member State as there is not enough Russian gas available to compensate the minimization of LNG. This differs from the physical dependence on Russian gas. According to sup- ply scenarios there is more LNG available than Russian gas at the end of the time horizon. The commissioning of Non-FID projects and associated new supplies could reduce the dependency except for the Iberian Peninsula for which additional projects would be necessary to further reduce its physical dependency on LNG.

\\ See figures 6.25 and 6.26 on pages 166–167

Ten Year Network Development Plan 2015 |

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