ENTSOG TYNDP 2015

5.4 Aggregate potential supply to Europe The potential supply to Europe is based on the aggre­ gation of the scenarios defined above. As shown in the graph below, the three aggregate potential scenarios follow divergent trends. The maximum scenario repre- sents a moderate increase (20%), while in contrast the intermediate scenario represents a moderate decrease (13%) and the minimum scenario represents a signifi- cant decrease (43%).

750 bcma

TWh/y

7,500

600

6,000

450

4,500

300

3,000

150

1,500

0

0

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034

2035

Maximum

Intermediate

Minimum

Figure 5.74: Aggregated supply potential to Europe

The following graphs show the evolution of the spread between the Minimum and Maximum potential supply scenarios. In absolute values, the maximum spread is found in LNG and Russian supply.

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Ten Year Network Development Plan 2015