Applying these percentages to the LNG exports per area, and assuming that “Flexi- ble” LNG is delivered to Europe, the maximum potential supply scenario for LNG is as follows:
SPLIT OF THE MAXIMUM SUPPLY SCENARIO PER PRODUCING AREA
Table 5.15: Split of the maximum supply scenario per producing area
Intermediate LNG scenario
The intermediate supply scenario for LNG is calculated as the average between the minimum and the maximum.
Minimum LNG scenario
The potential minimum LNG scenario has been defined on the assumption that current low levels of LNG imports cannot be sustained under a scenario of decreas- ing indigenous production and either increasing or sustained gas demand, and would not be consistent with increasing LNG regasification capacity. This scenario has been defined from the average LNG imports in 2011, 2012 and 2013, and is kept constant for the future.