ENTSOG South-North Corridor GRIP 2017 - Main Report

Figure 3.15 shows the forecasts for each country of the South-North Corridor, with Italy expected to have the highest demand, overcoming Germany after 2020. A slight increase in demand is expected in France, while in Germany, Belgium, Luxembourg and Switzerland the demand should remain fairly stable to slightly decreasing.

TWh/y

Total annual demand by country

1,000

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0

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037

IT

FR

BE

CH

LU

DE

Figure 3.15: Evolution of the total annual demand between 2017 and 2037 for the countries of the South-North Corridor Region according to the Blue Transition scenario (Source: projection based on data from TSOs collected by ENTSOG)

While figures for most countries are stable to slightly decreasing, in Italy and France an increasing trend is expected mainly linked to power generation. The annual forecast is then further analysed by splitting the demand into the consumption sectors previously indicated, namely final customers (residential, commercial, industrial and transportation) and power generation. The graphs in Figure 3.16 and Figure 3.17 show the results obtained for the 2017–2037 period.

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South-North Corridor GRIP 2017