ENTSOG Gas Regional Investment Plan South 2017 - Main Report

Final Demand (Yearly Demand Excluded Power Generation)

TWh/y

France

500 300 350 400 450 250 200 150 100

Blue Transition

Slow Progression

EU Green Revolution

Green Evolution

50

0

2017

2020

2025

2030

2035

Slow Progression

Blue Transition

Green Evolution

EU Green Revolution

Figure 3.17: Final demand by country – France (Source: Data from TYNDP 2017, own elaboration)

In France, the final demand decreases in all scenarios due to energy efficiency in residential, commercial and industrial sectors, whereas demand for transport is increasing. The EU Green Revolution and Green Evolution have the same values, except after 2030.

TWh/y

Spain

500 300 350 400 450 250 200 150 100

Blue Transition

Slow Progression

EU Green Revolution

Green Evolution

50

0

2017

2020

2025

2030

2035

Slow Progression

Blue Transition

Green Evolution

EU Green Revolution

Figure 3.18: Final demand by country – Spain (Source: Data from TYNDP 2017, own elaboration)

For Spain, the final demand increases in all sectors and for the three scenarios. In the residential sector this increase is related to the rising number of final users and fuel switch of central heating`s. In the industrial sector, growth is related to new customers resulting from the increase of GDP. Additionally a moderate increase is expected in the transport sector The EU Green Revolution final demand increases less than the others and stabilises after 2030.

TWh/y

Portugal

100 40 50 60 70 80 90

Blue Transition

Slow Progression

EU Green Revolution

Green Evolution

30 10 20

0

2017

2020

2025

2030

2035

Slow Progression

Blue Transition

Green Evolution

EU Green Revolution

Figure 3.19: Final demand by country – Portugal (Source: Data from TYNDP 2017, own elaboration)

For Portugal, the EU Green Revolution scenario has a slight decrease in 2030. In Portugal, the Green Evolution and Slow Progression scenarios have the same demand. In the Slow Progression scenario, less demand is expected due to the less favourable economic conditions and green ambition sees little growth or decarbonisation.

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Gas Regional Investment Plan of the South Region 2017