ENTSOG Gas Regional Investment Plan South 2017 - Main Report

3.3 Demand data

The level of gas demand has been influenced by the development of the gas market and the specific climatic conditions over the years.

3.3.1. YEARLY AVERAGE DEMAND

The yearly average total demand is shown in Figure 3.13. For the South Region, the Blue Transition and Green Evolution scenarios display a continually increasing trend across the time period, due to the closure of coal plants and merit order switch to gas following regulation designed to reduce CO ² emissions from the power sector, combined with increased economic output and the develop- ment of RES. In the EU Green Revolution, gas demand is expected to slightly decrease after 2025. The Slow Progression scenario has a relatively stable gas demand, but less demand than the others till 2025, after that the EU Green Revolu- tion is the scenario with less demand.

TWh/y

Total Demand by scenario

1,200

1,000

800

600

400

200

0

2017

2020

2025

2030

2035

Slow Progression

Blue Transition

EU Green Revolution

Green Evolution

Figure 3.13: Yearly average total demand (Source: ENTSOG TYNDP 2017 data, own elaboration)

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Gas Regional Investment Plan of the South Region 2017