ENTSOG Gas Regional Investment Plan South 2017 - Main Report

3.2 Demand Scenarios

In this section, it will be shown the most updated trend of the long-term demand scenarios for the South Region, and an analysis of deviations in comparison with the long-term forecast scenarios included in the TYNDP 2017 will be developed. For power generation, it was used data from ENTSO-E TYNDP 2016 during the development process to create consistent scenarios. Each scenario of TYNDP 2017 is linked to demand for power generation relevant to the Visions (ENTSO-E TYNDP 2016).

ENTSOG Scenario

ENTSO-E Vision

IEA Scenario

Vision 1

WEO 2015 Current Policies

Slow Progression

Vision 3

WEO 2015 New Policies

Blue Transition

Vision 4

WEO 2015 450

Green Evolution

Vision 4

WEO 2015 450

EU Green Revolution

Table 3.1: ENTSOG scenarios vs ENTSO-E visions (Source: ENTSOG TYNDP 2017 data)

Image courtesy of Reganosa

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Gas Regional Investment Plan of the South Region 2017