ENTSOG Gas Regional Investment Plan South 2017 - Main Report

In order to define the number of supply sources that a country has significant access to, ENTSOG has stablished for the SSPDi indicator a threshold value of 20%. When the value of the SSPDi indicator is higher than 20% for a supply source, it is considered that the country has a significant access to this source. In the previous maps, the results of the SSPDi indicator are presented for 2017 in Green Evolution Scenario, for all supply sources: National production, (grey), Russia (red), Norway (yellow), LNG (blue) and Algeria (green). According to this indicator, the Iberian Peninsula has only access to two supply sources (Algeria and LNG), due to the low level of interconnections with the rest of Europe, while France has access to National Production, Russia, Norway and LNG. Additionally, according to the SSPDi indicator, the Iberian Peninsula can cover 100% of its demand by LNG. In the low infrastructure scenario, the difference in the supply mixes for the Iberian Peninsula and France does not change significantly in 2020 and 2030; the only differences come from Algerian gas in the Iberian Peninsula and Norwegian gas and LNG in France. Regarding Algerian gas, in 2030, the percentage of the Algerian gas in the supply mix of Portugal and Spain slightly decreases. Regarding Norwegian gas, the percentage of this supply source in France decreases from 2017 to 2020. At the same time, the importance of LNG in French gas supply increases from 2017 to 2020. Based on the TYNDP indicators, the access to supply sources changes from one country to another. Only Green EU Revolution is represented in the graph as the conclusions are mainly the same than in the other scenarios.

Iberian Peninsula

\\ During all the period of the TYNDP 2017 (from 2017 to 2035), in the low infrastructure scenario , the Iberian Peninsula only has access to two supply sources: Algeria and LNG. \\ In the PCI and High infrastructure scenario, the Iberian Peninsula improves its access to Norway, Russia and National production reaching five supply sources above 20%, thanks to the implementation of PCI or High infrastructure level projects.

%

SSPDi ES

100

80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 90

0

2017

2017

2017

2017

2017

2017

2017

2025

2025

SSPDi-LNG 2020 2025

SSPDi-LY 2020 2025

2025

2025

2025

SSPDi-AZ 2020

SSPDi-DZ 2020

2030

2020

2030

2020

2030

2020

2030

2030

2030

2030

SSPDi-NO SSPDi-RUm SSPDi-NP

LOW

PCI

HIGH

Figure 7.15: SSPDi Evolution for Spain, EU Green Revolution Scenario (Source: TYNDP 2017)

Gas Regional Investment Plan of the South Region 2017 | 103