ENTSOG GRIP SNC 2014-2023

Mediterranean countries shows a wider temporal spread both with relation to peaks and to lowest demand records with comparison to both NW and CEE macro-areas. Should this finding be confirmed by additional analysis, this might provide a flexibil- ity reserve from this Region to cover other parts of Europe (at least, in terms of stor- age and LNG resources and to extend the current and future available imports sources to the overall Europe).

7

8

12

17

30

42

%

%

%

29

25

42

46

17

8

17

North-West

Mediterranean

Central Eastern Europe

November

December

January

February

Other months

Figure 8.5: Comparison of the statistical historical (period 2010 – 2012) distribution of maximum demand days per month in the three macro-areas

Finally, Central-East European macro-area shows trends closer to NW patterns, although coldest day are concentrated in February and December (totaling 77% of the cases, with the months inverted as the coldest ones) while for summer season is more equilibrated between July and August and less concentrated in terms of lowest demand records. Finally, the following graph provides indications about the magnitude of the maximum demand values actually registered in the three macro-areas 1) .

18000 GWh/d

15000

12000

9000

17,197

17,779

16,227

6000

3000

7,087

6,150

6,150

3,718

3,911

0

4,340

NW

MED

CEE

2010

2011

2012

Figure 8.6: Historical aggregated maximum gas demand for the three different macro-areas

1) These values are the actual registered values in the countries composing the various macro-areas assumed to be demand-homogeneous. They should be interpreted only as broad indications of the average or peak demand values used in the simulations, useful to approximate with historical figures the size of different areas in terms of demand scale.

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South-North Corridor GRIP 2014–2023