ENTSOG GRIP SNC 2014-2023

8.1 Introduction

For this second version of the GRIP South-North Corridor numerous cases have been simulated using the ENTSOG Network Modelling tool (NeMo) 1) , which tries to satisfy demand throughout Europe with the consid- ered supply sources taking into account technical inter- connection capacities between different market zones. This represents an evolution compared to the previous report of this Region where no modelling was taken into account. The cases considered represent variations on scenarios considered in TYNDP 2013–2022, with updated information with regard to demand and project data. It is to be noted that network assessment is always performed at a European-wide scale but for demand variations, considered project clusters, disruption scenarios and output, closer attention is given to the Corridor specificities.

8.2 Modelled Cases

In total, 156 cases have been processed through the NeMo tool for this specific GRIP. The case specificities are a result of variations on behalf of the considered year, demand profiles throughout Europe, infrastructure clusters, and supply situa- tions including possible disruptions.

8.2.1 YEARS

For the purpose of this GRIP, the years 2014, 2018 and 2023 were taken into account, with the latter two being the most relevant ones with regard to the foreseen commissioning date of the main projects in the Region.

8.2.2 INFRASTRUCTURE

As in TYNDP two different infrastructure clusters were considered as a combination of existing infrastructure and future projects depending on their FID status. Two specific additional clusters have been taken into account. One by adding all PCI projects (as a result of the first PCI selection round) and another one by adding only the core projects bridging the South-North corridor to the existing infrastructure plus projects that already proceeded to FID status. This last infrastructure cluster focuses on the flow reversal at the interconnection points Passo Gries, Oltingue and Wallbach, in this way making possible to transport gas from Italy towards the North West European markets. Projects in Italy, Switzerland and Germany related to this cluster are taken into account as from the simulated year of 2018. The project TAP offers a new possible entry of gas for Italy and a new potential gas source for Europe as a whole in terms of supply diversification and is taken into account for the 2023 simulation year.

1) More details on the ENTSOG simulation tool and methodology can be found in the Methodology chapter of TYNDP 2013 – 2022.

South-North Corridor GRIP 2014–2023 |

89

Made with