ENTSOG GRIP SNC 2014-2023

3.2 Forecast Demand Trends 1)

The Regional peak gas demand forecasts from 2014 to 2023 are pointed out in the following tables and charts.

It is worth highlighting that these “design case” figures are the result of TSO estima- tions as a response to a data collection organized by ENTSOG in summer 2013. The Regional demand in 2023 is estimated to be slightly lower than the demand expect- ed for 2014.

DESIGN CASE GAS DEMAND FORECAST [GWh/d] IN THE SOUTH-NORTH CORRIDOR Balancing Zone

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Belgium

1,435

1,383

1,417

1,448

1,444

1,455

1,464

1,475

1,486

1,498

France PEG N

3,144

3,156

3,152

3,130

3,138

3,128

3,119

3,100

3,068

3,036

France PEG S

944

947

946

939

942

939

936

930

921

911

France TIGF

331

333

333

367

370

370

376

376

376

376

France

4,419

4,437

4,431

4,436

4,450

4,437

4,431

4,406

4,365

4,323

Germay NCG

2,897

2,833

2,840

2,810

2,799

2,765

2,750

2,720

2,716

2,720

Germany GASPOOL 2,118

2,071

2,077

2,055

2,047

2,022

2,011

1,989

1,986

1,989

Germany

5,015

4,904

4,917

4,865

4,846

4,787

4,761

4,709

4,702

4,709

Italy

5,034

5,056

5,036

4,996

5,028

5,007

5,030

5,036

5,012

4,975

Switzerland 252 Total SN Corridor 16,121 15,999 16,021 15,981 16,003 15,939 15,938 15,878 15,817 15,757 Total Europe 35,000 34,943 35,281 35,483 35,778 35,757 36,024 35,960 35,993 36,026 Table 3.2: Design Case peak gas demand in the Region (2014 – 2023 projection) 220 220 220 236 236 252 252 252 252

15000 GWh/d

12000

9000

6000

3000

0

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

Switzerland Belgium

France Italy

Germany

Figure 3.3: Design Case peak gas demand in the Region (2014 – 2023 projection)

1) Source: ENTSOG. Data used here refers to TSOs contributions sent to ENTSOG in August 2013 and their validity should be referred to that moment, while projections at the GRIP publication stage could actually differ.

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South-North Corridor GRIP 2014–2023

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