ENTSOG GRIP SNC 2014-2023
3.2 Forecast Demand Trends 1)
The Regional peak gas demand forecasts from 2014 to 2023 are pointed out in the following tables and charts.
It is worth highlighting that these “design case” figures are the result of TSO estima- tions as a response to a data collection organized by ENTSOG in summer 2013. The Regional demand in 2023 is estimated to be slightly lower than the demand expect- ed for 2014.
DESIGN CASE GAS DEMAND FORECAST [GWh/d] IN THE SOUTH-NORTH CORRIDOR Balancing Zone
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Belgium
1,435
1,383
1,417
1,448
1,444
1,455
1,464
1,475
1,486
1,498
France PEG N
3,144
3,156
3,152
3,130
3,138
3,128
3,119
3,100
3,068
3,036
France PEG S
944
947
946
939
942
939
936
930
921
911
France TIGF
331
333
333
367
370
370
376
376
376
376
France
4,419
4,437
4,431
4,436
4,450
4,437
4,431
4,406
4,365
4,323
Germay NCG
2,897
2,833
2,840
2,810
2,799
2,765
2,750
2,720
2,716
2,720
Germany GASPOOL 2,118
2,071
2,077
2,055
2,047
2,022
2,011
1,989
1,986
1,989
Germany
5,015
4,904
4,917
4,865
4,846
4,787
4,761
4,709
4,702
4,709
Italy
5,034
5,056
5,036
4,996
5,028
5,007
5,030
5,036
5,012
4,975
Switzerland 252 Total SN Corridor 16,121 15,999 16,021 15,981 16,003 15,939 15,938 15,878 15,817 15,757 Total Europe 35,000 34,943 35,281 35,483 35,778 35,757 36,024 35,960 35,993 36,026 Table 3.2: Design Case peak gas demand in the Region (2014 – 2023 projection) 220 220 220 236 236 252 252 252 252
15000 GWh/d
12000
9000
6000
3000
0
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
Switzerland Belgium
France Italy
Germany
Figure 3.3: Design Case peak gas demand in the Region (2014 – 2023 projection)
1) Source: ENTSOG. Data used here refers to TSOs contributions sent to ENTSOG in August 2013 and their validity should be referred to that moment, while projections at the GRIP publication stage could actually differ.
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South-North Corridor GRIP 2014–2023
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