ENTSOG GRIP CEE 2014-2023 / Main Report

Image courtesy of GASCADE Gastransport GmbH

Source shares The simultaneous cut of the two dominant import routes for Russian gas reduces the respective share to 5.5% in 2014, 1.8% in 2018 and 12.4% in 2023 FID, to around 23.5% in 2018 and to 38.6% in 2023 non-FID. As Russian gas is mainly replaced by gas from UGS, its share is relatively high with around 63% in 2014 and 2023 FID, in 2018 FID round 57.4%. In the non-FID case, it decreases from 47.3% in 2018 to 37.5% in 2023. The share of national production decreases from 23.5% in 2014 to 20.1% in 2018 and 14.85% in 2023 (17.5% and 12.6% respectively in 2018  /2023 non-FID). A detailed overview over the supply source shares per year as well as maps indicating the supply situations is given below.

80 %

60

40

20

0

0.92

1.87

1.69

1.13

1.12

0.73

0.75

0.63

0.33

0.46

0.14

LNG

NP

UGS

DZ

LY

SGC

NO

RU

2014 FID

2018 FID

2023 FID

2018 non-FID

2023 non-FID

Figure 54: The share of supply sources in the CEE region under the simultaneous disruption via Belarus and Ukraine and under the two-week uniform risk day conditions

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GRIP Central Eastern Europe 2014–2023