ENTSOG GRIP CEE 2014-2023 / Main Report

80 %

60

40

20

1.98

0

1.44

1.43

0.18

0.12

0.24

0.31

0.04

0.08

0.10

LNG

NP

UGS

DZ

LY

SGC

NO

RU

2014 FID

2018 FID

2023 FID

2018 non-FID

2023 non-FID

Figure 14: The share of supply sources in the CEE region under the design case conditions

Storage

The storage connections in this scenario show sufficient remaining flexibility in 2014. In 2018 (FID case), Croatian, Hungarian and Polish underground storage connections are expected to be operated at full load (no remaining flexibility), where- as in 2023, Poland is expected to have around 8.6% of remaining flexibility. In the non-FID cases, the remaining flexibility of the storage connections would be >20% in the entire CEE region.

4.1.5 Single Uniform Risk Day in whole CEE Region, Average Winter Day in the rest of the EU

Under the single day uniform risk scenario, the overall demand in the CEE region increases from 7,736 GWh/d in 2014 to 8,447 GWh/d in 2018 and 8,616 GWh/d in 2023. Germany is the only country showing a decrease in demand, being 6.1% between 2014 and 2023. Slovenia (+62%), Poland (+59.6%), Croatia (+40.5%), Bulgaria (+37.5%) and Hungary (+20%) show a significant increase of demand in this scenario, whereas Austria, the Czech Republic and Slovakia are likely to show moderate increase rates with 15.7%, 14% and 12%. The demand in Romania remains constant over the whole period.

2,000 GWh/d

1,500

1,000

500

0

2014

2018

2023

DEn

DEg

PL

RO

HU

CZ

AT

SK

BG

HR

SI

Figure 15: Evolution of the demand by country/balancing zone under the single uniform risk day conditions

GRIP Central Eastern Europe 2014–2023 |

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