ENTSOG GRIP BEMIP 2014-2023 / Main Report

Despite that the gas consumption in the region is expected to increase, the fore­ casted changes should be in line with the EU’s climate policy, as major increase will be for the substitution of much more polluting fuels – coal for electricity production and district heating in case of Poland and oil products for bunkering purposes in case of Finland. Also growing tendency in overall region is that the gas is more and more used as a back-up fuel for renewables based production of heat and electricity. In comparison with the first edition, this GRIP maintains the same framework, pro- viding a description of the region’s gas markets, including an overview of expected developments of gas demand and supply and evaluating the potential contribution of infrastructure projects to these developments. The document provides an outlook of the latest changes of the EU initiatives related to energy infrastructure, gas market players and the foreseen implications for the planned gas infrastructure thereof. It highlights the changes since the first release of the publication of the GRIP in March 2012. The document provides an update of regional initiatives both in the Eastern Baltic region and in the West Baltic part. The results of latest analysis accomplished jointly by the TSOs of Baltic states and Finland which focused on the modelling of gas supply flows in the Baltic states and Finland are provided. As regards the West Baltic region, the document analyses developments to enhance the security of supply and market integration in Poland, Denmark and Sweden. This GRIP presents the detailed analysis of impact of the enlisted non-FID gas infra- structure projects on the development of the region’s gas market. The information on the projects proposed herein, including third party projects, of the countries belonging to the BEMIP region is provided in the Annex.

Image courtesy of Amber Grid

Baltic Energy Market Interconnection Plan GRIP 2014–2023 | 5