ENTSOG BAL NC Monitoring Report 2016

3.4.5 Establishing a Forecasting Party

The forecasting party is responsible for forecast- ing a network user’s non-daily metered off-takes and where appropriate its subsequent alloca- tion. After prior consultation with TSOs and DSOs concerned, BAL NC foresees designating at least a forecasting party in a balancing zone. This may be a TSO, a DSO or a third party. Table 3 below illustrates that 18 countries (AT, BE/LU, CZ, DE, DK, ES, FR, IE, IT, HU, LT, NL, PL 38) , PT, SI, UK-GB and UK-NI) reported desig- nating a forecasting party. In 16 countries except Hungary and Northern Ireland the forecasting parties were operating by 1 October 2016. In Northern Ireland its establishment is planned for October 2017. In Romania and Croatia the des- ignation is still in progress while five countries in- cluding Estonia (BG, EL, SE and SK) the desig- nation of a forecasting party is far not currently foreseen. In Sweden network users currently have agreed that they will forecast themselves. Greece and Slovakia reported that no NDM off takes exist in their balancing zones.

In ten of the above 18 countries with a designat- ed forecasting party (BE/LU, DK, FR, IT, PT, SI, UK-GB and UK-NI) the TSO while in four other countries (DE, HU, LT and PL) the DSO is fulfill- ing the task. Four countries (AT, CZ, ES and NL) designated the task to a Third party. In Austria the Third Party is the Distribution Area Manager (DAM). In Czech Republic the fore- casting task is fulfilled by the Market operator (OTE), which is an independent subject on the market. In Spain ENAGAS in its role of the Tech- nical Manager of the System must define the demand forecast in collaboration with the DSO and TSOs and their networks consumers. The Netherlands reported that so-called EDSN serves as the forecasting party. Compared to the previous report three (ES, PL and PT) of the four countries (ES, HR, PL and PT) that were planning to establish a forecasting party, finalised the process by implementing the forecasting party by 1 October 2016. Poland reported not designating a forecasting party for the TGPS balancing zone due to not having any connected NDM offtake points and nor DSOs connected to the balancing zone. In three coun- tries (HR, HU and RO) the designation process is still ongoing.

Overview of designated and implemented forecasting party by 1 October 2016

FORECASTING PARTY

No forecasting party foreseen

TSO

DSO

Third party

Under discussion

BE, DK, FR, IE, IT, LU, PT, SI, UK-GB, UK-NI (10)

DE, HU*, LT, PL (4)

AT, CZ, ES, NL (4)

HR*, RO* (2)

BG, EE, EL, SE, SK (5)

* Countries planning to establish a forecasting party.

Table 3: Overview of designated and implemented forecasting party by 1 October 2016

38) In the Polish TGPS balancing zone there is no need to provide any forecast due to non NDM offtakes in this balancing area. No DSOs are connected to the balancing zone

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ENTSOG BAL NC Monitoring Report 2016