Baltic Energy Market Interconnection Plan GRIP 2017

5.2 BEMIP GRIP

Additional Cases

For the BEMIP GRIP 2017 report ENTSOG modelled the various scenarios to complement TYNDP scenarios as specified by the working group.

After consultating with ENTSOG, the analysis for the BEMIP GRIP report was performed on the cases presented in table 5.2 below.

ENTSOG MODELLED CASES FOR BEMIP GRIP REGION

YEARS TO BE MODELLED

DEMAND SCENARIO DEMAND CASES

DISRUPTION CASES

INFRASTRUCTURE CASES

No Russian supply to Finland and Baltic States

Low + GIPL

1-DAY DESIGN CASE (DC)

BLUE SCENARIO

2017

No Russian supply to Baltic States

Low with PCIs in Baltic states (LT, LV, EE)

2020

2025

14-DAY UNIFORM RISK CASE (2-W)

GREEN SCENARIO

Low including all PCIs in the BEMIP countries

No supply from Belarus to Lithuania

Table 5.2: ENTSOG modelled cases for BEMIP GRIP regions

The infrastructure cases in the additional BEMIP GRIP cases have an important impact on the results of each country, especially the Baltic States and Finland. Therefore, the content of each infrastructure case needs to be described in more detail.

Low + GIPL This infrastructure case includes the projects in the BEMIP region listed in 2017 TYNDP under the “Low Infra- structure Level” scenario, meaning that the existing infrastructures and infrastructure projects with FID status (whatever their PCI status is) and in addition to this, the GIPL-project which is the interconnector between Poland and Lithuania.

BEMIP Gas Regional Investment Plan 2017 |

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