Baltic Energy Market Interconnection Plan GRIP 2017

YEARLY GAS DEMAND AND PEAK DAY DEMAND FORECAST FOR THE PERIOD OF 2017–2025

2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

YEARLY GAS DEMAND (TWh)

12.02 11.81 11.59 10.44 10.44 10.22 10.22 10.01 10.01

PEAK DAY DEMAND (GWh)

126.6 126.6 126.6 126.5 126.5 126.4 126.3 126.2 126.2

Table 3.3: Yearly gas demand and peak day demand forecast for the period of 2017–2025

%

CONSUMPTION OF PRIMARY ENERGY SOURCES (SOURCE CSB)

100

9% 11%

9% 11%

9% 12%

9% 12% 12%

9% 12% 12%

9% 9% 12%

80

16%

14%

14%

60

40

64%

67%

64%

68%

68%

69%

20

0

2015

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

Industry

Muncipal & commercial enterprises

Households

Energy

Figure 3.24: Natural gas sales by industries (%)

In total, JSC “Latvijas Gāze” has 443.6 thousand customers including 432.2 thousand residential customers who consume only 9% of total gas sold in Latvia.

In thousands

CONSUMPTION OF PRIMARY ENERGY SOURCES (SOURCE CSB)

100

2.3 6.4

2.3 6.9

2.3 7.5

2.3 8.2

2.3 8.6

2.4 9.0

80

60

48.3

49.2

50.3

51.4

52.6

53.9

40

386.0

384.2

382.9

381.4

379.9

378.3

20

0

2015

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

Household heating

Commercial customers

Industrial customers

Household stoves

Figure 3.25: Number of gas customers (in thousands)

The total number of customers in Latvia continues to increase except those who use gas only for cooking.

BEMIP Gas Regional Investment Plan 2017 |

49